From the Blogosphere
January 10, 2008 1:47 PM
From AAO Weblog: Jack Ciesielski
After the miserable market action of the last week, it feels as though the holidays were months ago, not merely days ago. New Year's Eve will provide a lingering hangover for investors as they sort through the fourth quarter earnings reports. The sticky markets for esoteric instruments like collateralized debt obligations will make for challenging (to say the least) valuations of assets for which no readily available quotes existed on New Year's Eve.
It's not even a Statement 157 world yet: that standard's effective date (recently upheld by the FASB) will be for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007. So the fourth quarter will not see the disclosure of fair value hierarchies for financial instruments. Starting with the March quarter however, this will be a reporting reality - one that will be of keen interest to investors, especially those investors who have holdings in the financial industry. With both sides of the balance sheets for these firms composed of mostly financial instruments, investors will want to know whether financial assets and financial liabilities are mostly Level 1, of the highest quality - or if they're mostly Level 3, the most suspect of the three levels of fair value inputs and presentation. If asset/liability presentations depend on Level 2 inputs, then investors will want to know just how Level 2 inputs were derived. Many investors view Level 2 inputs with suspicion: they wonder if logical contortions have been made to get genuine Level 3 valuations moved up a notch, out of the Level 3 dungeon. Scary - and it could happen.
These are serious issues for investors. There's genuine utility to investors in the fair value hierarchy and they seem quite ready to embrace it. The big problem with the hierarchy: it isn't available to investors until the 10-Q (or 10-K, in the case of the fourth quarter) is filed. Firms aren't required to address the fair value hierarchy at the time earnings are released; there's nothing that governs the dissemination of information at earnings release time beyond Regulation. That would be a bit like regulating free speech. The only way that analysts will necessarily hear about fair value hierarchies will be when they ask about them. And there are no guarantees of a robust answer. The companies with the most to hide would be the least likely to volunteer information that would put them in an unflattering light.
The time between the earnings release and the 10-Q can be considerable: a firm can be talking up (or talking down) the next quarter by the time the 10-Q is filed covering the earnings release. By the time the 10-Q is filed, the fair value hierarchy information is stale. Investment decisions have already been made.
How big is the gap between earnings release and 10-Q filing? We did some digging in 10-K Wizard for the third quarter 2007 earnings releases of December year end companies and found 2,336 Item 2.02 8-Ks. We tied the dates of those "Results of Operations" 8-Ks to the filing dates of the associated 10-Qs. The table below summarizes, by sector, the gap between the time the 8-K was filed with the time the 10-Q was filed.
3Q2007: Median Days Between Filing Earnings & 10Q
|
Sector
|
Count
|
Median Gap
|
Max Gap
|
|
Consumer Discretionary
|
273
|
4.0
|
24.0
|
|
Consumer Staples
|
46
|
2.0
|
21.0
|
|
Energy
|
184
|
2.0
|
23.0
|
|
Financials
|
663
|
12.0
|
30.0
|
|
Health Care
|
353
|
3.0
|
24.0
|
|
Industrials
|
280
|
5.0
|
23.0
|
|
Information Technology
|
324
|
8.0
|
24.0
|
|
Materials
|
108
|
7.0
|
22.0
|
|
Telecom
|
40
|
1.0
|
21.0
|
|
Utilities
|
65
|
0.0
|
16.0
|
|
Total
|
2,336
|
6.0
|
30.0
|
Notice who took the longest between releasing earnings and filing the 10-Q? The companies in the financial sector, at 12 days. Those are the companies most likely to have financial assets and liabilities - the very same companies for which investors would most like to evaluate the quality of fair value inputs.
In an ideal world, simultaneous reporting would serve investors best: it's the information investors need to evaluate earnings, when they need it. Maybe it's not all the information they'd need, but it would be a more consistently prepared, fuller package than what gets selectively served up by managers at earnings release time.
It's not a pipe dream to wish that companies could simultaneously report earnings and 10-Q's: of those 2,336 companies, there were 458 (20%) with zero days lagging between the earnings release and the 10-Q filing. And 69 of them were financial companies. A best practice already exists in the real world.
The SEC tightened up the filing dates for 10-Qs and 10-Ks several years ago, and also required the inclusion of a reconciliation of non-GAAP earnings presentations to their GAAP counterparts through Regulation G in filings. They've shied away from moving companies in the direction of synching up the earnings release content with the 10-Q or 10-K.
The AICPA's Center for Audit Quality has weighed in on best practices in handling the market value measurement dilemma. If auditors are concerned that firms respect GAAP when it comes to measuring fair values, they might as well make sure the measurement means something at the time of delivery to investors. Maybe the CAQ will consider a best practice recommendation when it comes to the timeliness of 10-Q reporting.
[ Read the entire post at AAO Weblog: Jack Ciesielski ]
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